In 2022, there were an estimated 39 million people 70 and older living in the United States, representing about 12% of the population. Based on data reported by states to the Federal Highway Administration, there were approximately 34 million licensed drivers 70 and older in 2022 (FHWA, 2024).
Compared with drivers ages 20-69, fewer people 70 and older are licensed to drive, and, based on data from the National Household Travel Survey, they drive fewer miles. However, older people now keep their licenses longer and make up a bigger proportion of the population than in past decades. The number of licensed drivers 70 and older increased 92% between 1997 and 2022. The proportion of the 70-and-older population with licenses went from 73% in 1997 to 87% in 2022.
According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the 70-and-older population is projected to increase to 53 million in 2030 (U.S. Census Bureau, 2017). The increase in the older driver population has led to concerns about the potential effects on traffic safety.
However, fewer older drivers died in crashes and fewer were involved as drivers in fatal collisions per capita during 1998-2022 than in previous decades, tempering those concerns. The rate of fatalities per capita among older people has decreased 45% since 1975.
A total of 5,626 people age 70 and older died in motor vehicle crashes in 2022.
Rate of fatal crash involvements among passenger vehicle drivers 70 and older per 100,000 people, 1975-2022
Nationally, the fatal crash involvement rates of drivers 70 and older declined per licensed driver during 1997-2018 and per vehicle mile traveled between 1995-96 and 2016-17 at a faster pace than the rates for drivers 35-54 years old (Cox & Cicchino, 2021). Fatal crash involvement rates per licensed driver in the 70-79 age group dipped below those of drivers ages 35-54 for the first time in 2015.
Based on 2016-17 travel data, drivers 70 and older drove 43% fewer miles, on average, than drivers ages 35-54. However, older drivers are traveling more miles than they used to. From 1995-96 to 2016-17, average yearly mileage increased by 65% for drivers 70 and older, compared with a 37% increase for drivers 35-54.
Older drivers have low rates of police-reported crash involvements per capita. Per capita fatal crash rates for drivers in their 70s, like fatal crash rates per licensed driver, are lower than those of middle-aged drivers. But because older people generally drive fewer miles than most other age groups, fatal crash rates per mile traveled show a different trend and start increasing at about age 70.
It's worth noting that like low-mileage drivers of other ages, older drivers tend to accumulate much of their mileage in city driving conditions. In contrast, drivers who accumulate more miles tend to drive more on freeways or divided multilane roads, which generally have much lower crash rates than other types of roads. Hence, the elevated crash rates for older drivers when measured per mile traveled may be somewhat inflated due to the type of driving they do (Janke, 1991).
Insurance claims provide another view of crashes of all severities. Drivers ages 65-69 have the lowest rates of property damage liability claims and collision claims per insured vehicle year. Rates start increasing after about age 70. However, older drivers' insurance claim rates are much lower than rates for the youngest drivers.
Per capita rate of passenger vehicle crash involvements by driver age, 2022
Passenger vehicle crash rates per mile traveled, by driver age, April 1, 2016 - March 31, 2017
Number of collisions and property damage liability insurance claims per 100 insured vehicle years by rated driver age, 1981-2023 vehicle models, calendar years 2019-2023